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Sharon Yavo-Ayalon 

Postdoctoral Associate

Jacobs Institute Urban Tech Hub at Cornell Tech

 

Towards an Urban Displacement Simulator - A Microsimulation for Predicting the Demographic Changes Caused by Privatization

 

Within the discourse of displacement and gentrification, this lecture will turn the spotlight to the privatization of once publicly funded affordable housing. Based on the Roosevelt Island case study, we developed a microsimulation that follows the conversion from affordable to market-rate units and predicts the expected demographic changes each year between 1976-2070. By combining information from the American Community Survey, the island's masterplan, the privatization agreements, and interviews with residents, the simulation produces interactive graphs at three urban scales: the neighborhood, the project, and the individual building. We found that while the households of market-rate units are gradually becoming younger and more affluent, the households of affordable units are becoming older and more impoverished. That despite an individual agreement for each building, the demographic changes will be similar in all of them, and that, those changes will affect low-income buildings first. Moreover, upon expiration, 30% of the existing protected tenants will be over 65 and at risk of being displaced. Based on these findings, we warn that the cumulative demographic change of privatization processes might be as dramatic as those of the sixties' urban renewal projects.

 

Co-Authors: 

  1. Shai Sussman, Eng. Master Student,The Faculty of Architecture and Town Planning, Technion, Israel

  2. Daphna Levine, Architect, Ph.D. Student, The Faculty of Architecture and Town Planning, Technion, Israel

  3. Meirav Aharon Gutman, Sociologist, Assistant Professor, The Faculty of Architecture and Town Planning, Technion, Israel

 

Bio

Sharon Yavo-Ayalon is a Postdoctoral Associate at Cornell Tech, developing visualizations and simulations to achieve social impact in planning. Currently, she has been focusing on mapping NYC social distancing stories and the demographic changes resulting from privatization processes. Her Ph.D. explored the linkage between urbanism and art and the manner in which local identity, spatial (in)justice, and social (ex-in)clusion are forged or deconstructed by artistic activity in cities. This research was awarded the President of Israel’s Grant for Scientific Excellence and Innovation. She received her Ph.D. from the faculty of Architecture and Town Planning at the Technion IIT, where she graduated summa cum laude BArch and MSc. 

Critical Technologies: Urban Tech for Social Impact

How can technology help create more equitable cities?

Organizing Committee:

  • Sharon Yavo-Ayalon, Postdoctoral Associate, The Urban Tech Hub, Jacobs Technion-Cornell Institute at Cornell Tech

  • Wendy Ju, Associate Professor, Information Science, Jacobs Technion-Cornell Institute at Cornell Tech

  • Meirav Aharon-Gutman, Associate Professor, Faculty of Architecture and Town Planning, Technion

  • Jennifer Minner, Associate Professor, City and Regional Planning, College of Architecture, Art, & Planning, Cornell University

  • Jagan Narayanan Subramanian, Urban Tech Master Student, The Urban Tech Hub, Jacobs Technion-Cornell Institute at Cornell Tech

What

When

Critical Technologies: Urban Tech for Social Impact

Wendsday June 9, 2021 

Panels and Lectures 

Thursday June 10, 2021 Workshop 

Where

Cornell Tech, Urban Tech Hub 

2 West Loop Rd, New York, NY, 10044

Held virtually via Zoom

Contact Us

To learn more, don’t hesitate to get in touch

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